Thursday, July 30, 2020

COVID-19 is Endemic and Winter is Coming!

Now Covid-19 looks like it is endemic in the UK we must prepare for winter.

“This infection is not going away, it’s now a human endemic infection,” Jeremy Farrar, Director of the Welcome Trust

This New Scientist Article explains
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2237475-covid-19-news-young-people-may-be-driving-spikes-in-cases-says-who/


It seems almost certain that colder weather will make COVID-19 worse as data is beginning to show:

https://covid.joinzoe.com/post/weather-covid


What do we do about it?

Well we have to come to terms with the facts:
1. We need to start living with the disease in the same way we live with seasonal flu (although it is much more dangerous)
2. We will need a vaccine regime for people at risk
3. We need to get Robust test & treatment regimes in place for everyone who asks for it (whether or not you have symptoms)
4. We cannot wipe this one out, even with a vaccine.

Tuesday, July 14, 2020

A COVID-19 Vaccine May Not Be the Answer

Unfortunately whoever designed this nasty little beggar did a good job (whether it was a team in the Wuhan lab or God Almighty the problem remains nonetheless).

Basically, the common cold has just grown teeth and we have never developed a cure or vaccine for the common cold.

It seems like antibodies may not last long enough to make a vaccine useful except for very short term protection. My best guess is we are heading for mass vaccinations for all risk categories at critical times of year (e.g. UK winter). They will probably try and combine it with Flu vaccines (if it's safe to do so).

https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/coronavirus/coronavirus-immunity-may-only-last-a-few-months-study-suggests/ar-BB16FXBD?ocid=msedgntp